Ahead of the forthcoming governorship election, an opinion poll has showed a significant lead for Governor Babajide Sanwo-olu, the candidate of the All progressives Congress in Lagos state, with 31 percent of voters preferring to vote for him.
The poll, commissioned by Anap Foundation and conducted by NOI Polls Limited was concluded in February, but before the presidential elections, according to a statement on Monday.
Read also: Video:"Sanwo-Olu is No Match for Funke"Jandor Declares
8 percent of voters proposed to vote for Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour of the labour party (LP) while 7 percent of voters opted for Azeez Olajide Adediran, popularly known as ‘ Jandor’, (Peoples Democratic Party).
The report signed by Atedo Peter N.A
peteride, President and
Founder of Anap Foundation, reads in part. “ in summary, our February 2023 polls indicate
that the race is not completely over as the undecided Voters (19 per cent ) and
those who refused to reveal their preferred candidate (30 percent ) are large
enough to turn the tables.
“ A lot will depend on if there has since been a further surge in Rhodes-Vivour’s greatest momentum. “
Governor Sanwo-Olu’s 23 percent-point lead at this stage is significant, as the opposition voters are fragmented and share between 2 main challengers in the ratio 31:8:7. Undecided voters and those who prefer not to reveal their preferred candidate add up to a whopping 19 percent and 30 percent respectively. The gender split of undecided Voters shows that 24 percent of women are undecided versus 14 percent of male voters.
The percentage of registered of voters in each of the three senatorial districts to be 95 percent in Lagos West and 93 percent each in Lagos East and Lagos Central.
The poll shows that almost 8 to 10 registered voters are absolutely certain that they would be voting in the next governorship election. If they stay committed then there could witness a huge turnout in the 11 March, 2023 Governorship elections.
Peter said: “ The polls shows some significant trends, it is key to note that it was concluded before the presidential elections and that the race is still impossible to call, as undecided/swing voters would ultimately have their say on which candidate emerges as Governor of Lagos State.
“In summary, our February 2023 polls indicate that the race is not completely over, as the undecided voters (23 percent) and those who refused to reveal their preferred candidate (24 percent) are large enough to turn the tables.
“ANAP Foundation notes that the trends in momentum may be further influenced by the recently concluded presidential elections where LP made a strong showing in Lagos state. A lot will depend on if there has since been a further surge in Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour’s momentum.
Comments
Post a Comment